Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.176973 0.204918 0.235822 0.272535 0.314965 0.362474 0.419726
2025-09-07 0.133083 0.170542 0.216287 0.276270 0.352896 0.447584 0.573629
2025-09-14 0.106067 0.145799 0.197764 0.270724 0.370615 0.502762 0.691221
2025-09-21 0.088858 0.129342 0.185338 0.268470 0.388909 0.557362 0.811505
2025-09-28 0.077474 0.118506 0.178079 0.270905 0.412145 0.619448 0.947841
2025-10-05 0.071384 0.114148 0.178986 0.284487 0.452211 0.709240 1.134585
2025-10-12 0.065381 0.108875 0.177483 0.293620 0.485801 0.792143 1.319736
2025-10-19 0.059947 0.103645 0.175146 0.300701 0.516315 0.872783 1.509825
2025-10-26 0.054534 0.097657 0.170678 0.303372 0.539296 0.942883 1.689524
2025-11-02 0.048877 0.090474 0.163223 0.299768 0.550616 0.993763 1.840787
2025-11-09 0.043075 0.082279 0.152977 0.289804 0.549099 1.021364 1.952437
2025-11-16 0.040237 0.079195 0.151535 0.295697 0.577107 1.104791 2.176325
2025-11-23 0.036934 0.074910 0.147518 0.296520 0.596132 1.174567 2.384448
2025-11-30 0.034342 0.071718 0.145242 0.300491 0.621811 1.260008 2.633920
2025-12-07 0.030981 0.066540 0.138433 0.294460 0.626478 1.304153 2.804045
2025-12-14 0.028367 0.062598 0.133656 0.292008 0.638116 1.363381 3.012098
2025-12-21 0.026498 0.060026 0.131424 0.294657 0.660793 1.447789 3.283709
2025-12-28 0.025821 0.059996 0.134594 0.309430 0.711559 1.597495 3.716706
2026-01-04 0.024784 0.059023 0.135575 0.319365 0.752514 1.729901 4.125477
2026-01-11 0.023652 0.057692 0.135596 0.327066 0.789132 1.856303 4.534605
2026-01-18 0.022277 0.055621 0.133684 0.329971 0.814714 1.959904 4.901037
2026-01-25 0.020586 0.052580 0.129162 0.326051 0.823338 2.024383 5.179085
2026-02-01 0.018642 0.048684 0.122161 0.315214 0.813627 2.043607 5.345974